Methods of Economic Analysis:
An economic
theory derives laws or generalizations through two methods:
(1) Deductive Method and (2) Inductive Method.
These two
ways of deriving economic generalizations are now explained in brief:
(1)
Deductive Method of Economic Analysis:
The deductive
method is also named as analytical, abstract or
prior method. The deductive method consists in deriving
conclusions from general truths, takes few general principles and applies them
draw conclusions.
For
instance, if we
accept the general proposition that man is entirely motivated by self-interest.
In applying the deductive method of economic analysis, we proceed
from general to particular.
The
classical and neo-classical school of economists notably, Ricardo, Senior,
Cairnes, J.S. Mill, Malthus, Marshall, Pigou, applied the deductive method in
their economic investigations.
Steps of
Deductive Method:
The main
steps involved in deductive logic are as under:
(i)
Perception of the problem to be inquired into: In the process of deriving economic
generalizations, the analyst must have a clear and precise idea of the problem
to be inquired into.
(ii)
Defining of terms: The next
step in this direction is to define clearly the technical terms used
analysis. Further, assumptions made for a theory should also be precise.
(iii)
Deducing hypothesis from the assumptions: The third step in deriving generalizations is
deducing hypothesis from the assumptions taken.
(iv) Testing
of hypothesis: Before
establishing laws or generalizations, hypothesis should be verified through
direct observations of events in the rear world and through statistical
methods. (Their inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded of a
good is a well established generalization).
Merits of
Deductive Method:
The main merits of deductive method are as under:
(i) This
method is near to reality. It is less time consuming and less expensive.
(ii) The use
of mathematical techniques in deducing theories of economics brings exactness
and clarity in economic analysis.
(iii) There
being limited scope of experimentation, the method helps in deriving economic
theories.
(iv) The
method is simple because it is analytical.
Demerits of
Deductive Method:
It is true
that deductive method is simple and precise, underlying assumptions are valid.
(i) The
deductive method is simple and precise only if the underlying assumptions are
valid. More often the assumptions turn out to be based on half truths or have
no relation to reality. The conclusions drawn from such assumptions will,
therefore, be misleading.
(ii)
Professor Learner describes the deductive method as ‘armchair’ analysis.
According to him, the premises from which inferences are drawn may not
hold good at all times, and places. As such deductive reasoning is not applicable universally.
hold good at all times, and places. As such deductive reasoning is not applicable universally.
(iii) The
deductive method is highly abstract. It require; a great deal of care to avoid
bad logic or faulty economic reasoning.
As the deductive method employed by the classical and neo-classical economists led to many facile conclusions due to reliance on imperfect and incorrect assumptions, therefore, under the German Historical School of economists, a sharp reaction began against this method. They advocated a more realistic method for economic analysis known as inductive method.
(2)
Inductive Method of Economic Analysis:
Inductive
method which also
called empirical method was adopted by the “Historical School of
Economists". It involves the process of reasoning from particular facts to
general principle.
This method
derives economic generalizations on the basis of (i) Experimentations (ii)
Observations and (iii) Statistical methods.
In this
method, data is collected about a certain economic phenomenon. These are
systematically arranged and the general conclusions are drawn from them.
For example, we observe 200 persons in the
market. We find that nearly 195 persons buy from the cheapest shops, Out of the
5 which remains, 4 persons buy local products even at higher rate just to
patronize their own products, while the fifth is a fool. From this observation,
we can easily draw conclusions that people like to buy from a cheaper shop
unless they are guided by patriotism or they are devoid of commonsense.
Steps of
Inductive Method:
The main
steps involved in the application of inductive method are:
(i) Observation.
(ii)
Formation of hypothesis.
(iii)
Generalization.
(iv)
Verification.
Merits of
Inductive Method:
(i) It is
based on facts as such the method is realistic.
(ii) In
order to test the economic principles, method makes statistical techniques. The
inductive method is, therefore, more reliable.
(iii)
Inductive method is dynamic. The changing economic phenomenon are analyzed and
on the basis of collected data, conclusions and solutions are drawn from them.
(iv)
Induction method also helps in future investigations.
Demerits of
Inductive Method:
The main
weaknesses of this method are as under:
(i) If
conclusions drawn from insufficient data, the generalizations obtained may be
faulty.
(ii) The
collection of data itself is not an easy task. The sources and methods employed
in the collection of data differ from investigator to investigator. The
results, therefore, may differ even with the same problem.
(iii) The
inductive method is time-consuming and expensive.
Scope of Economics:
The scope of economics
is the area or boundary of the study of economics. In scope of economics we answer and analyze the
following three main questions:
(i) What is the subject matter of economics?
(ii) What is the nature of
economics?
(iii) What are the limitations of
economic?
(i) Subject Matter of Economics:
There is a difference of opinion
among economists regarding the subject-matter of economics. Adam Smith,
the father of modern economic theory, defined economics as a subject, which is
mainly concerned with the study of nature and causes of generation of wealth of
nation.
Marshall introduced the
concept of welfare in the study of economics. According to Marshall; economics
is a study of mankind in the ordinary business of life. It examines that part
of individual and social actions which is closely connected with the material
requisites of well being. In this definition, Marshall has shifted the emphasis
from wealth to man. He gives primary importance to man and secondary importance
to wealth.
The Robbinsian’s
concept of the subject-matter of economics is that: “economics is a
science which studies human behavior as a relationship between ends and scarce
means which have alternative uses”. According to Robbins (a) human wants
are unlimited (b) means at his disposal to satisfy these wants are not only
limited, (c) but have alternative uses. Man is always busy in adjusting his
limited resources for the satisfaction of unlimited ends. The problems that
centre round such activities constitute the subject-matters of economics.
Paul and Samuelson, however,
includes the dynamic aspects of economics in the subject matter. According to
them, "economics is the study of how man and society choose with or
without money, to employ productive uses to produce various commodities over
time and distribute them for consumption now and in future among various people
and groups of society”.
(ii) Nature of Economics:
The economists are also divided
regarding the nature of economics. The following questions are generally
covered in the nature of economics.
(a) Is economics a science or an
art?
(b) Is it a positive science or a
normative science?
(iii) Economics As a Science or An Art:
Economics is both a science and an
art. Economics is considered as a science because it is a systematic knowledge
derived from observation, study and experimentation. However, the degree of
perfection of economics laws is less compared with the laws of pure sciences.
An art is the practical application
of knowledge for achieving definite ends. A science teaches us to know a
phenomenon and an art teaches us to do a thing. For example, there is inflation
in Pakistan. This information is derived from positive science. The government
takes certain fiscal and monetary measures to bring down the general level of
prices in the country. The study of these fiscal and monetary measures to bring
down inflation makes the subject of economics as an art.
After arriving at a conclusion that
economics is both a science as well as an art. Here arises another controversy.
Is economics a positive science or a normative science?
(iv) Economics is Positive or Normative Science:
There again difference of opinions
among economists whether economics is a positive or normative science. Lionel
Robbins, Senior and Friedman have described economics as a positive science.
They opined that economics is based on logic. It is a value theory only. It is,
therefore, neutral between ends.
Marshall, Pigou, Hawtrey, Keynes
and many other economists regard economics as a normative science. According to
them, the real function of the science is to increase the well-being of man.
They have given suggestions in their works for promotion of human welfare.
For example, Malthus has given
suggestions of checking the rising population. M. Keynes has suggested measures
to remove unemployment.
We agree with Mr. Frazer, that an
economist who is only an economist is a poor pretty fish. An economist must
come forward to give advice to the problems facing the human being like
depression, unemployment, high prices, etc., for increasing his welfare.
Economics, to conclude, has both
theoretical as well as practical side. In other words, it is both a positive
and a normative science.
No comments:
Post a Comment